Drivers of Change

Nanette Nelson, Envision Board Member

Those practicing strategic foresight have heard about signals and drivers. But how are they different, and how are they used to envision the future? Understanding the role of drivers is important. Learn about drivers of change.

Socially Inclusive Housing

Jim Golembeski, Upward Mobility Signals Team

Our Wisconsin workforce continues to set records.  Numbers from June 2024 show a record 3,048,600 people employed in our state with a Labor Force Participation rate of 65.5%, 3% above the national average. So who are these people, supposedly sitting on the sidelines, unwilling to work? Read about the housing our workforce.

Our Local Childcare Crisis

Judy Nagel, Upward Mobility Signals Team (with guest authors Paula Breese, Lynn Coriano, and Sarah Inman)

Upward mobility is driven by policy – which can catalyze or sabotage. In the United States, due to our policies, it takes five generations to move from low income to the middle class. The world’s top five countries in terms of social mobility all have this in common: a solid foundation for early childcare and development. Read about our local childcare crisis.

Prevent Data Theft: Poison it!

Nan Nelson, Upward Mobility Signals Team

With AI’s future still unwritten, Nightshade, a project from the University of Chicago, gives artists recourse from AI theft by rendering data useless or disruptive to AI model training. Ben Zhao, a professor who led the project, compared it to “putting hot sauce in your lunch so it doesn’t get stolen from the workplace fridge.” Read the story here.

The Demographics That Divide Us

Heidi Selberg, Envision Board President

Economic challenges come with a shrinking working-age population. An analysis published in the New York Times Interpreter newsletter describes how depopulation (primarily because of declining birthrates) leads people to become particularly receptive to far right politics. This is why: As the population decreases, the economy slows down because fewer workers generate tax revenue. The government pulls back services—schools close, public transportation becomes less available, even hospitals might close. People begin to feel neglected and undervalued by politicians. 

Immigrants and disadvantaged populations can be scapegoated by far-right politicians as a way to attract voters. Then immigration – a partial way to address depopulation – becomes less likely. The authors conclude the article by saying, “ ..being able to attract and integrate large numbers of immigrants will be an important competitive advantage for countries in the coming decades. Doing so, however, will require overcoming political barriers that arise, partly, out of the same demographic shifts.”
Read the article here. “How Shrinking Populations Fuel Divisive Politics” by Amanda Taub and Lauren Leatherby, New York Times-The Interpreter,  February 2, 2024.

Better Future for Others

Jim Golembeski, Upward Mobility Signals Team

Everyone faces obstacles going through life. Some things just happen, and others are self-inflicted. Sara Williams has used her challenges to build an even better life. She’s the Community Organizer and spokesperson for JOSHUA, promoting the worth and dignity of every human person through social justice. Read about Sara’s work.